On Social Power

Power is a corrupting force. And politics – a process in which power is acquired – is no exception. So when I see power being amassed, even for good, I wince. To me, politics should always be engaged with a critical eye. And I say this not as a cynic but as someone who believes in politics.

So it is interesting for me to see people so willingly give up power. One of the ways that I think power is given up is by engaging politics emotionally. And on the inauguration of Barack Obama I found it ironic to see people willingly give themselves up to a man who’s key message is of the dangers of the blind and irrational in politics.

But that is the nature of power. Power requires people to put down their guards and follow. To trust that they will not be marched off a cliff. This is an awesome tool and, I acknowledge, one that is required to accomplish great things. Humans are social creatures and in order for us to work together we must be coordinated. Skyscrapers, cities, republics and empires are envisioned by leaders and dutifully executed by the people. Nothing would ever be accomplished if every order was questioned by every person. On certain occasions we need the collective to act as one. But group-think is also responsible for the worst of humanity; ranging from riots, nationalism and stampedes at Wal-Mart.

So we should take no comfort knowing that Leaders have often used this power to send men off to die in distant lands for issues unrelated to them.

But the times are different and Obama will be a great leader, right? Well, I “believe”, but it is not whether or not we agree with the one at the helm that gives me pause. It’s simply seeing how power is so easily given up and amassed that puts me in awe; like seeing history play itself out in real time.

With that being said, I don’t think that all aspects of life should be engaged this critically. There are many things that I believe being part of the collective is great. For example, dancing is best experienced in a social environment and without thought. But politics is one of these areas in life that I think should always be engaged with a certain level of detachment. Politics is a process and it should remain as so. So when politics and emotions meet, that’s when we should be most cautious.

Posted in Philosophy | 5 Comments

LittleSis Launched

It’s official. LittleSis has launched. LittleSis is – what we’ve dubbed – the involuntary Facebook for powerful Americans.

From the blog:

By tracking the relationships of powerful Americans – everything from campaign contributions to family ties – LittleSis opens up these networks for public inspection. “Big Brother” is commonly used to describe a situation where the electronic eyes of the powers that be are vigilantly watching citizens for misbehavior. LittleSis is a website where the electronic eyes of citizens are vigilantly watching back.

This is an exciting moment for us and we hope that people find it useful.

Posted in Technology | Leave a comment

Amazing Dream

I don’t have many reoccurring dreams, but there is one that stands out. The dream is of me running on all fours. I distinctly recall feeling the need to throw hands on the ground to gather speed and it somehow working. The gait was a bit awkward, but I still managed to gain speed, and the view of the world was – with the ground a constant blur – amazing.

So I was surprised when a friend linked me to the following video, by done by one of his classmates, Lenka Chludova. Except that Lenka, an artist from the Boston area, dwells on the awkwardness of the human gait:

It is particular to the movement on all fours that it is straining from the beginning of the act and therefore does not go through a physically and visually obvious progression as, for example, running on two as fast and for as long as possible. The muscles and skeleton resist this abnormal motion in a way that makes the human body give out signals as if it is on the verge of collapsing three minutes into the act the same way it signals fifty minutes later. The sense of a pending total exhaustion therefore occurs repeatedly.

The video is a bit long, but that is what makes it amazing. Lenka runs as fast as she can on all fours, through out New York, for over 45 minutes. The scenery changes are quite spectacular and appear – possibly coincidentally – to map to her emotions. Starting out relatively fast with a backdrop of the skyline and ending exhausted in an isolated part city.

Endure:

As fast and for as long as possible from Lenka Chludova on Vimeo.

Posted in Art | Leave a comment

Is Our Insurance Model Immoral?

I am part of the problem: being self-employed, I haven’t had health insurance in years – opting to spend my money on other things of more consequence: like paying down my school debt, traveling and creating time to do things I enjoy, like writing these articles.

But I am reminded that it is the young, mobile, and healthy that are taking the biggest risk with not having insurance – and increasing the told cost of health care as they find themselves in the emergency rooms. And to a certain extent, I agree. But against my libertarian tendencies, I want to argue that giving people the choice to opt in and out of insurance actually creates a moral hazard, with a solution that must ignore the individual and solved only with a macro approach.

Let’s begin by looking at what insurance is: insurance is social system that distributes the financial costs of catastrophes across a population. Individuals pay a share into a system and extreme fluctuations in small segments of the population are absorbed.

In order for this system to work, a very large portion of the population must believe that they are risk and want to buy into the scheme. The reality is, though, that the risk of a catastrophe occurring to any single individual is quite small. The chances that your house will burn down: small. Getting in a serious car accident: relatively small. Being struck by some inexplicable disease and having to be hospitalized: very small. In the developed world most people live relatively long lives – and are more often set back by slow onset conditions caused by lifestyle decisions, such as heart disease and stroke. So on an individual basis, you can’t sell insurance on a catastrophe basis, without there being some level of deception.

Moreover, individuals have a hard time accurately gauging their own risks. People rarely have adequate information about their risks to make a rational decision – and if they did, the risks would appear small. Some risks, like getting hurt in terrorist attack or a plane crash are extremely rare, yet most effective in mobilizing fear.

So we’re presented with two basic ideas: we need insurance for known fluctuations in the population, which we would all like to be protected from. But individuals have a hard time gauging their own risks, but still are asked to predict. This asymmetry of information lends itself to abuse and, I think, resembling other morally ambiguous situations, like gambling.

While specific risks to individuals are statistically rare, we know – with certainty – that small segments of the population will be afflicted with all sorts of catastrophes. Since insurance is a tool that works best everyone participates and we cannot expect individuals to ever know their own risks, it makes sense that the industry resembles a public service as apposed to a gambling business.

Posted in Economics | 1 Comment

TimesPeople

I use the TimesPeople feature at the New York Times to stay in sync with friends in what we read. Anyone can subscribe to at my profile page. I also created this style, which you can enable with the Firefox Extension called Stylish. It fixes this annoying feature which keeps the TimesPeople bar permantly fixed at the top of the browser.

Posted in Technology | 1 Comment

Well-managed Dismemberment

The American auto industry epitomizes many of the issues I have with large institutions– they are wasteful and unresponsive, but worst of all, we depend on them. Few things are as unsettling as forced dependence.

Yet, we are in the midst of yet another bailout by US government – again, by institutions deemed “too big to let fail.” The auto industry is asking for $25 billion, which as of now, appears could come from the $700 billion intended (and also failing) to restore liquidity in the financial markets. The financial markets are in turmoil and it would seem like a bad time to consider letting the auto industry collapse. But, we might also want to consider this a good opportunity to do what’s been needed for a long time now – and that is restructure our economy.

Before I give my reading on the situation I want to make clear that I understand that people’s livelihoods are at stake here. Even more so, our entire economy at risk. Here is some perspective:

GM’s payroll pumps $8.7 billion a year into its assembly workers’ pockets. Directly or indirectly, it supports nearly 900,000 jobs — everyone from auto-parts workers to advertising writers, car salespeople, and office-supply vendors. When GM shut down for 54 days during a 1998 labor action, it knocked a full percentage point off the U.S. economic growth rate that quarter. So what’s bad for General Motors is still, undeniably, bad for America.

That reason alone should discourage any talks of letting these companies fail. But how long can we put off restructuring this industry? If the government had not coddled these companies for the past decades we would not be in this situation today. There is no reason to believe that in future it will be easier to restructure the industry. It will be hard no matter when it happens. The reality is that the American carmakers have been zombies – clinically dead, yet still walking around – for years now. Not only that, they have been dead weight, preventing the modernization of our entire economy.

the U.S. automotive industry has been on the wrong side of almost every environmental, social and safety issue since the 1960s. The industry objected to the Clean Air Act, publicly opposed fuel economy standards, fought against seat belt and air bag legislation, dragged its feet on alternative-fuel vehicles and lobbied against almost every socially responsible initiative. Exactly why would the public want to bail out an industry that has failed in the market and been so unresponsive to the public good?

The decisions we make right now will shape our future economy in dramatic ways. As the world economy swerves in every which way, we have to make sure that we don’t just straighten out, but also end up going in the right direction. And for that, I believe what we need is a well-managed dismembering of the auto industry. We certainly do not want a situation where the industry meets a sudden and catastrophic end. But that’s the direction we are going. Market pressures from Japan, Korea, and now, China, will only continue to squeeze the auto industry and I am not willing to bet our future economy on their resurgence.

the solutions will slip from GM’s control. At some point the laws of physics take over and, like steel-makers and airlines, GM is at the mercy of global forces. It simply cannot compete in a global economy with the enormous burden it now carries in legacy costs. It certainly cannot meet those costs for long off a shrinking sales base and negative cash flow. And distracted by those woes, it can’t begin to make the investments necessary to match the Koreans on price, the Japanese on quality, and the Europeans on performance.

So what does the future hold? Well, if we take a long-term view of the economy, it’s clear that the search for sustainable sources of energy will be key to our economic future, similar to the way transportation was an important economic struggle of the 19th and 20th centuries. The car brought mobility to the masses, but now transportation, as a problem, is for the most part solved. With planes, buses, trains, cars and boats we can reach most places of the world in a matter of hours – not months. We will continue to make improvements to transportation (coupled with telecommunications) but we need a larger economic scope if we are to lead in the new century.

As I said before, there needs to be a well managed dismembering of the industry. First, the companies need to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. The government can then move in and – and as was the case with the FDIC-managed dismembering of Washington Mutual and Wachovia – assets can be sold to highest bidder. The government can then invest in and encourage Toyota, Honda and Nissan to take over as much of manufacturing as they can. The government can assume responsibility for the pensions of the oldest employees and focus on retraining and job placement programs for the youngest.

We’d rather the government spend billions on retraining and job placement than on propping up perpetually weak companies that can’t fix themselves. We also don’t buy the argument that bankruptcy would be a deathblow for GM. The only folks it would be a death-blow for would be shareholders and many bondholders.

Will it be expensive? Yes. Is it necessary? Absolutely.

Retraining should focus on manufacturing and retrofitting our existing infrastructure with “green technologies.” When we reach an acceptable level of stability, we should consider taxing inefficient and wasteful sources of energy to increase market pressure and encourage innovation. This way we can solve the short-term economic problem of keeping people employed and the long term problem of promoting sustainability.

Obviously there will many more issues that need to be considered in this transition and there will be seen and unforeseen problems that will pop up. But if we don’t keep a long-term view when solving these issues, we are surely to find ourselves here again in the not too distant future – having accomplished little.

Posted in Economics | Leave a comment

Thoughts About the Singularity

I will be attending the Convergence08 conference in a few weeks, so in the spirit of the topic I want to jot down a few notes concerning the Singularity. First of all, let me start by describing what I have to come to understand as the Singularity. The Singularity was proposed by Vernor Vinge in a 1993 essay titled The Coming Technological Singularity. There he suggests that technological change is occurring an ever-increasing rate that we will soon (near future) tap the physical limits of the universe. But in doing so, we will come to understand the universe so intimately that we will develop technologies that allow us full control of our own existence.

I first encountered this idea in Ray Kurzweil’s book The Singularity is Near a few years ago (given as a gift by my good friend David Macaluso), and fell in love with the topic. The book discussed mind-digitization, human fusion with technology, nano technology, and raised interesting thoughts about genetics, evolution and death. I read this book at a time when I was also researching topics like quantum computing, teleportation and dabbling in the philosophy of human nature, evolution and consciousness. Needless to say, the book played a role in shaping many of my views today and how to look into the future.

But as with any new and fascinating topic, the novelty wore off and time brought perspective and a critical eye. And that’s where I have been for the past few years. Fascinated, but critical. Yet, I find myself defending the ideas of the Singularity quite vigorously. Not because I am fully convinced of their validity. But because the issues that they raise seem to be playing an ever increasing role into our lives.

In defending Singularity research, I find myself answering the following the points.

  • The Singularity is not possible. The premise assumes that we will be able to understand everything about the human brain and human biology and the universe. History shows that whenever we think we have a holistic view of the universe, science reshuffles everything again.

Even if the singularity is not possible, it is an interesting topic to discuss for the questions that it raises about philosophy and technology. We are shaped by technology every day. Technological advances have spread across the world and have influenced every significant culture in the world. There have been few things throughout history that transcended and influenced all cultures of the world as rapidly as recent technological advancements have – take for example, the cellphone. If for no other reason, that seems to be a good reason to think long term of what we, as a species, seem to be building.

  • Even if it’s possible, I disagree with the overall vision and don’t want to support it. (i.e it feels like a new religion with technology at it’s center)

There are many things I don’t like about the Singularity. It raises very uncomfortable questions about humans, nature and our place in the universe. One thing that it does not do is dictating the direction of where technology is taking us. We are all part of a system that is taking us in the direction that the Singularity is pointing us towards. It is our modern economy in finance and technology research that is powering this machine.

  • Even if it’s correct, I don’t want to support these ideas. It might be a self-fulfilling prophecy.

We would have to change more than just wacky futurist ideas to prevent us going down this path. The institutions and research powering our world are based on the belief that “progress” must continue to sustain our way of living. If we are concerned of possibly “losing our humanity” then we need to be willing to give up many of our modern niceties – which is a topic that also interests me and enjoy entertaining. But I believe that it is not a self-fulfilling prophecy. It a building of foresight. And it’s best to have thought about the complications of these issues before we have to deal with them directly.

Another book, which I just recently acquired – and recommend for pragmatic view of technogical change – is Francis Fuyikayama’s Our Post-Human Future, where he addresses specific political ramifications of the change we are experiencing.

Posted in Future | Leave a comment

The State of the Union is (of course) Strong

Orwell is too easily referenced, but this reassuring statement about the current financial crisis – made solely to avoid panic – is too glaring to pass over:

And in comments to reporters at the White House, the Treasury secretary, Henry M. Paulson Jr., said that consumers should remain confident about the soundness of the American financial system.

They say that chocolate rations have risen again.

Posted in Economics | Leave a comment

Re: Utilitarian Equilibriums

Aaron Swartz recently wrote:

Utilitarians believe that people should work to maximize total happiness across the population. They believe that the only reason to do something or not to do something is because it will make people happier or unhappier respectively. Thus, whether something is good or bad depends to some extent on people’s preferences — whether it makes them happy or sad.

But this might leads to some odd conclusions in the case of what might be called “perverse preferences”. For example, some members of the Bush Administration say they get very sad when they see others eat ice cream in public. Yet many people like to eat ice cream in public. Should we stop them from doing so just because it makes others sad? Moreover, should they decide to stop doing so if they’re utilitarians?

My understanding of Utilitarianism is that it looks at the sum of all people affected by an action – not just influential groups.

According to Utilitarianism, if eating ice-cream negatively affects more people than not, then maybe we should reconsider eating ice-cream.

And that is why laws vary by peoples. There are cases, which, for historical or cultural reasons, more people of a population consider a specific act as affecting them negatively. So, to impose a historical or cultural justification for an act by a larger population onto a smaller – under the guise of the “greater good”, would be, i think, unjust.

What makes sense to me is to have smaller governing units, which permit for distinct populations to make their own decisions and assert their cultural beliefs (obviously, preserving basic human rights).

Utilitarianism can sometimes be a bit too universalistic and often forgets the most human of all social units: the family – and everything that stems out from family, like ethnicity, culture, nation etc.

Now, you can apply the same insights of John Stuart Mill to smaller social groups and allow for an even greater diversity of people who can be happy.

Posted in Philosophy | Leave a comment

In the latest issue of The Atlantic Mont…

In the latest issue of The Atlantic Monthly, Nicholas Carr wrote a piece titled “Is Google Making Us Stupid?” that raises interesting issues regarding the effects of Google on the way we read. Carr looks at history for significant technological shifts and at it’s reception. One of the oldest – and I think most interesting – is from Socrates, and his view on writing:

In Plato’s Phaedrus, Socrates bemoaned the development of writing. He feared that, as people came to rely on the written word as a substitute for the knowledge they used to carry inside their heads, they would, in the words of one of the dialogue’s characters, “cease to exercise their memory and become forgetful.” And because they would be able to “receive a quantity of information without proper instruction,” they would “be thought very knowledgeable when they are for the most part quite ignorant.” They would be “filled with the conceit of wisdom instead of real wisdom.” Socrates wasn’t wrong-the new technology did often have the effects he feared-but he was shortsighted. He couldn’t foresee the many ways that writing and reading would serve to spread information, spur fresh ideas, and expand human knowledge (if not wisdom).

A similar concern arose with the printing press:

The arrival of Gutenberg’s printing press, in the 15th century, set off another round of teeth gnashing. The Italian humanist Hieronimo Squarciafico worried that the easy availability of books would lead to intellectual laziness, making men “less studious” and weakening their minds. Others argued that cheaply printed books and broadsheets would undermine religious authority, demean the work of scholars and scribes, and spread sedition and debauchery. As New York University professor Clay Shirky notes, “Most of the arguments made against the printing press were correct, even prescient.” But, again, the doomsayers were unable to imagine the myriad blessings that the printed word would deliver.

And now, the concern has shifted to the Internet. The Internet allows us to retrieve information quickly, but doesn’t necessarily require us to go “deep” into a topic – changing the way we engage text completely, even offline. And there is a fear that the Internet might cause an epidemic in our culture that results in people being unable to hold a focus long to enough to grasp complex ideas.

If that’s a possibility then there is reason to be concerned. The New York Times, in a piece titled “Literacy Debate: Online, R U Really Reading?,” explains how we are already moving away books and onto screens:

Children are clearly spending more time on the Internet. In a study of 2,032 representative 8- to 18-year-olds, the Kaiser Family Foundation found that nearly half used the Internet on a typical day in 2004, up from just under a quarter in 1999. The average time these children spent online on a typical day rose to one hour and 41 minutes in 2004, from 46 minutes in 1999.

And the effects – at least in the way we currently test for them – seem to be negative:

As teenagers’ scores on standardized reading tests have declined or stagnated, some argue that the hours spent prowling the Internet are the enemy of reading – diminishing literacy, wrecking attention spans and destroying a precious common culture that exists only through the reading of books.

While Socrates was right that writing made us lose our ability to memorize, he was unable to foresee (or maybe foresaw, but still did not approve) the rise of engaged and literate societies, which have been responsible for many of the great creations of humanity.

So what type of world are we unable to yet see by high level and data extracting reading that the Internet so easily provides? Well, it’s hard to say, but there is another angle we can approach this to give us an idea.

We have for the past hundred years – aided by technology – seen the rise of the “Multitasker.” Modern life requires the completion of many tasks and in the rush to complete these tasks; we break up into even smaller task, which allow us to incrementally work on many things simultaneously. That is how work is accomplished in the modern world and is also how reading is changing.

But we’re already aware of the dangers of multitasking in various parts of our lives.

A few months ago The Atlantic Monthly published an article by novelist and critic, Walter Kirn, titled “The Autumn of the Multitaskers“, that explains how multitasking affects our brain:

Multitasking messes with the brain in several ways. At the most basic level, the mental balancing acts that it requires-the constant switching and pivoting-energize regions of the brain that specialize in visual processing and physical coordination and simultaneously appear to shortchange some of the higher areas related to memory and learning. We concentrate on the act of concentration at the expense of whatever it is that we’re supposed to be concentrating on.

Even worse, certain studies find that multitasking boosts the level of stress-related hormones such as cortisol and adrenaline and wears down our systems through biochemical friction, prematurely aging us. In the short term, the confusion, fatigue, and chaos merely hamper our ability to focus and analyze, but in the long term, they may cause it to atrophy.

This is the great irony of multitasking-that its overall goal, getting more done in less time, turns out to be chimerical. In reality, multitasking slows our thinking. It forces us to chop competing tasks into pieces, set them in different piles, then hunt for the pile we’re interested in, pick up its pieces, review the rules for putting the pieces back together, and then attempt to do so, often quite awkwardly. (Fact, and one more reason the bubble will pop: A brain attempting to perform two tasks simultaneously will, because of all the back-and-forth stress, exhibit a substantial lag in information processing.)

So, in our effort to complete many tasks, we inhibit our ability to complete any single one. And it doesn’t help that the computer is inherently multipurpose. What appears to be happening is that different behaviors are being consolidated into a single tool that by design favors multitasking – obstructing other possible ways to engage ideas.

Breaking up tasks has allowed for the development of the industrial revolution. Physical motions were broken up in simple actions – constraining the individual, but allowing for the “system” to work more efficiently. The computer revolution has also limited physical acts to moving our fingers and our minds too have become compartmentalized – suited to completing simple tasks.

What we find is that this compartmentalization of human minds and ideas can be beneficial to the “system.”

Wikipedia, I think, is a good example of this idea in action and I think can be a glimpse into the way we engage ideas in the future. Individuals are responsible for depositing tiny slivers of knowledge into large pools of information, but no individual idea is valued or acknowledged, while giving a sense of collective progress. But this system also deprives individuals of any deep sense of worth. Similar to mind-numbing factory jobs, I can see lives, thoughts, and entertainment being broken down into tiny plots that are easily satisfied… and never questioned.

Worst of all, when people’s needs are so easily met, few would realize the worth of deep and uninterrupted thoughts.

Posted in Philosophy | 6 Comments